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Tory wars, Clarkson, Corbyn, Sadiq & Dave, the TUC and immigration: my latest...

  This week’s focus groups with undecided referendum voters took place in Leamington and in Muswell Hill, North London, with only three weeks to go until the big day. “That will be the actual decision,...

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Migration, TV debates, our “special status”, and the Money Saving Expert: my...

My penultimate round of focus groups with undecided voters took place in Cardiff, where many people’s perplexity over the decision at hand was not turning not into enlightenment but exasperation. Among...

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Voters’ butterflies, the post-Brexit budget, and the Totnes Question: my...

  My final round of referendum focus groups, in St Austell and Bromley, found that if the two sides of the campaign are feeling the pressure of the tightening polls, they are not the only ones – the...

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Why I’m for Brexit

Forget the hysteria. Leaving the European Union would not put a bomb under the British economy or end Western political civilization as we know it. But nor would it mean another £350 million a week...

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How the United Kingdom voted on Thursday… and why

  The UK has voted to leave the European Union. On referendum day I surveyed 12,369 people after they had voted to help explain the result – who voted for which outcome, and what lay behind their...

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Post-Brexit Britain and the new regime: the voters react

  In the space of a month, Britain has voted to leave the EU, the Prime Minister has resigned and been replaced by a new one, Cabinet ministers have been unexpectedly sacked or promoted, the Leader of...

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The New Blueprint: The Conservative Agenda In Post-Brexit Britain

A year after the coalition government was formed I embarked upon a research exercise which I called Project Blueprint. It looked at how the Conservatives could win an overall majority, and rested on...

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‘Well, You Did Ask… Why The UK Voted To Leave The EU’

My book on the EU referendum, ‘Well, You Did Ask… Why The UK Voted To Leave The EU’, is available now from Biteback Publishing. ‘Well, You Did Ask…’ draws on two years of research by Lord Ashcroft...

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The new political landscape – and what Britain expects from Brexit

My latest research is a comprehensive survey of the political landscape as Britain embarks on two years of negotiations over the terms on which it will leave the European Union. Based on a...

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My latest research on the state of the parties and what people want from the...

As the government embarks on two years of grueling EU negotiations following the triggering of Article 50, I decided now was a good time for a detailed look at the political landscape – and what voters...

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